franklinbrenan

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There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have remained well above their pre-pandemic levels even as sales volume collapsed. The reason is supply. The locked-in effect has kept available inventory at historically low levels in most markets, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.

Before you look at a single listing, get your pre-approval locked down. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. In this market, a seller who receives an offer without that documentation will not take it seriously.

The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. A low appraisal means the buyer has to make up the gap in cash, renegotiate, or cancel. Ask your agent what the local pattern looks like before you structure an offer without an appraisal contingency.

The offer price is one variable among several. Deal structure has won more competitive situations than overbidding has.

For buyers with a stable income, a down payment of at least ten percent, and a concrete plan to stay in the home for at least five years, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that are right for a specific buyer’s actual needs are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.

Buyers who take the time to research properly tend to find that opportunities exist even when conditions look difficult on paper. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.

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